The devastation from the storms of last week (kawawa Luzon!) could have been mitigated if the Philippines had not lost 90% of its primary forest cover since 1950. The vast majority of the forest cover lost during this period has been the result of inappropriate forestry regulation or, in many cases, no regulation at all – allowing pervasive legal and illegal logging without subsequent reforestation programs.
Reforestation would have prevented many of the numerous landslides; the vast areas inundated could have been avoided. Reforestation can arrest global warming by reducing atmospheric CO2 levels.
We now know that climate change is a by-product of global warming; global warming is the result of increased levels of atmospheric CO2. Based on millions of years of historic records, new estimates (October 2009, Science journal) of sea level rise, that will result from global warming (due to the concentration of atmospheric CO2), indicate that even the current levels of atmospheric CO2 (around 385ppm), if sustained, will cause sea level rises of 25-40 meters. Baha!
As an island nation, with almost all of its major population centers, tourist meccas, industrial zones and agricultural areas located below 40 meters above (2009) sea level, it would seem logical for the Philippines to partner with organizations such a the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS).
The AOSIS is a coalition of small island and low-lying coastal countries that share similar development challenges and concerns about the environment - especially vulnerability to the adverse effects of global climate change. AOSIS comprises 39 member nations and is dedicated to keeping up the pressure on the major contributors of increased levels of atmospheric CO2 and global warming, for immediate and effective action to prevent further increases in atmospheric CO2 and to start to roll-back atmospheric CO2 concentrations to below 350ppm to prevent further climate change.
The weather patterns are changing because of global warming: anyone over the age of 30 will have seen the changes, e.g. 20 years ago weather patterns in Davao featured mostly sun every morning and tropical thunderstorms every afternoon almost year round, now Davao has overcast skies for most days of the year and hardly any afternoon tropical thunderstorms. These changed weather patterns are the cause of the storms of last week.
If sea levels rise by 40 meters within this century, gone will be:
Major population centers such as
- Metro Manila
- Davao City
- Cebu City
- Iloilo City
- Bacolod City
- Cagayan de Oro
- San Fernando (La Union)
Major agricultural industrial zones such as
- Mactan Island
- Subic Bay
- Pampanga
- Cavite
Tourist meccas such as
- Boracay
- Puerto Galera
- Samal Island
- Siargao Island
- Dapitan
If we want to prevent a repetition of the devastation seen last week we must take action now na.
We must immediately take action now to:
- commence reforestation by planting trees wherever we can find space
- reduce atmospheric CO2 by using energy more efficiently
- lobby our government to partner with the AOSIS
This is not something for tomorrow it is for action NOW na!
Juliet